Reality Check: AI Analyzes My Channel’s Suppression, Pt. 1.

Whether purposefully, passively, or as a proxy for other bad actors, YouTube is suppressing my channel. I asked ChatGPT to analyze the failure of what I had primed to be my most successful video yet: my Capcom Mini-Cute Countercade creation video. Here are the results of that reality check.

The video represents over half a year’s work, culminating in a tutorial of experimental but successful and accessible building techniques. The work produced a Pi-powered countercade par excellence, complete with easy-to-print and assemble files and custom circuitry anyone can order from the video’s sponsor, PCBWay. It was a particularly personal video too, with the through-line involving my ongoing battle with blood cancer complications.

The Reddit Run-up

In the run-up to the video’s premiere and to ensure its success, I promoted it through socials, primarily Reddit. Reddit is notoriously hostile to self-promotion; many subreddits ban such posts entirely. Actually, Reddit itself is notoriously hostile to just about everything, with the median score in the New feed of any sampled community being exactly zero1. Despite this, my posts did well across several communities: r/Fighters, r/RetroPie, r/cade, and even more broadly in communities such as r/raspberry_pi.

Reddit Campaign Performance

Seven posts across multiple Reddit communities

Total Post Views
105,400
Total Upvotes
497
Approval Ratio
97.9%
Reddit Post Views Upvotes Approval
Mini-Cute Countercades ↗ 14,000 119 98.4%
Countercades and Video ↗ 8,600 41 97.7%
Raspberry Pi Countercade Case ↗ 19,000 88 98.9%
Build Video Announcement ↗ 14,000 105 97.3%
USB Breakout Board ↗ 33,000 35 94.9%
USB Breakout Board Update ↗ 8,300 43 100%
Mini-Cute-r Work in Progress ↗ 8,500 70 98.6%
TOTAL 105,400 497 97.9%

Source: Reddit post analytics. Views represent total post impressions, not necessarily unique viewers. Approval percentage is the reported weighted figure. Two post titles currently link to Reddit searches rather than individual posts.

I asked ChatGPT to analyze my posts’ performance against other submissions in r/cade. Here’s what it found:

“Your four r/cade submissions consistently achieved much stronger scores and approval ratios than the typical submission in this sample. Even your weakest post outperformed 70% of the sampled posts, while your median score was more than nine times the community median.”

Reddit Performance Comparison

My median post score was approximately 9.2 times the median of the sampled r/cade submissions.

Reddit Performance Comparison

My four r/cade submissions versus a 100-post sample from the community’s New feed

Median Score
87.5
Average Approval
98.6%
Median Advantage
9.2×
Metric My r/cade Posts 100-Post Sample
Median score 87.5 9.5
Average score 84.25 68.01
Average approval ratio 98.6% 87.7%
Average comments 16.75 10.8

Comparison of four Cyberspacemanmike project submissions against 100 posts sampled from r/cade’s New feed. The sample is not a comprehensive representation of all subreddit activity.

I then asked ChatGPT to select and analyze positive comments. Here is what it chose to quote and its subsequent analysis:

  • “This is the most impressive thing I’ve seen on here period… How much would one cost?” — u/Nachodoches, r/Fighters
  • “Wow, these are incredible and so adorable. The plexiglass really takes it to that ultra premium level. Well done, OP. Would you commission a build?” — u/HiImNewToPTCGO, r/cade
  • “These are incredible, seriously excellent job! Will 100% sign up for a crowdfund for revised 3D printer files.”— u/nestersfunkybowling, r/cade

“They establish something stronger than positive reception alone: people independently expressed interest in commissioning, crowdfunding, or purchasing your work.”

The Capcom Mini-Cute Countercades post also received an award. The notoriety the project had garnered on Reddit was not lost on PCBWay, who agreed to sponsor the upcoming video.

The company bet hundreds of dollars that the video’s reach would recoup its advertising costs and then some. This wasn’t simply a creator overestimating the appeal of his own work; an independent commercial partner had also recognized its potential and committed resources to it.

The video failed. Horribly.

ChatGPT Engagement Analysis

I uploaded all of the video’s comments into ChatGPT and asked it the following: given the level of engagement and 100% upvote ratio, how many views do you think the associated video had?

“Based on those comments, the overwhelmingly positive reception, the 100% like ratio, and the fact that the video has been up for four months, I’d guess 15,000–30,000 views, with my best single estimate being 22,000 views.

It’s a niche subject, but a detailed, reproducible arcade cabinet build has considerable appeal among retro gaming and maker audiences. Several commenters seem genuinely astonished by the craftsmanship, and others are asking for the files to reproduce it… I’ll stick with 22,000. How far off am I?”

ChatGPT overestimated by a factor of nearly 17. The actual view count was 1.3K.

Expected vs. Actual YouTube Views

Capcom Mini-Cute Countercade — approximately four months after publication

ChatGPT’s estimate 22,000
Actual views 1,300

16.9× overestimate

ChatGPT’s estimate was an informal judgment based on viewer comments and positive reception, not a statistical forecast.

“1,300 views?! That’s dramatically below what I’d have expected from those comments.

What’s particularly striking is that the feedback isn’t merely positive. People are expressing amazement at the craftsmanship, asking for the files, and thanking you for making the project reproducible. One commenter even returned months later asking for more content.”

ChatGPT Comparables Analysis

The disparity becomes more troubling when we examine comparable YouTube projects. I asked Chat to identify similar projects with similarly positive engagement.

One video, Build Your Own 3D Printed Arcade Cabinet, from Artifextron, accumulated 40,159 views despite originating from a channel with approximately 1,820 subscribers. Another, I Built a Full 3D Printed Arcade at Home, from Inventor’s Garage, received 12,545 views. Both figures were recorded on October 20, 2026.

These aren’t identical projects, and their respective engagement statistics would need to be examined in greater detail before declaring them equivalent in every respect. Nevertheless, they demonstrate that there is an audience for this kind of content on YouTube itself.

Any argument that custom-built countercades are simply too obscure to attract meaningful viewership on YouTube is contradicted by the performance of comparable projects.

Comparable Arcade Builds. Dramatically Different Reach.
YouTube views • October 20, 2026
Artifextron Reach Advantage
29.2×
Inventor’s Garage Reach Advantage
9.1×
Total Video Views
Artifextron
40,159
My Mini-Cute
1,377
Artifextron achieved 29.2 times Mini-Cute’s views despite having approximately 1,820 channel subscribers.
Sources: YouTube video pages, captured October 20, 2026. View counts are snapshots and will change. Comparisons are not adjusted for publication date, impressions, or audience differences. Video titles link to their respective sources.

ChatGPT noted:

“Your video has 1,300 views despite exceptionally enthusiastic feedback, while the Artifextron video has over 38,000 views on a channel with considerably fewer subscribers.”

On a personal note, the success of the Artifextron video especially stings given that I actually invented the wall-mounted arcade ca. 2010, with a provisional patent application to prove it. For reasons of corruption, however, I was never able to capitalize on it, not so much as with a YouTube video!

“The question isn’t whether your work is good enough to attract an audience. The comments provide substantial evidence that it is. The question is why YouTube hasn’t connected it with more of that audience.“

My Video Actually Exceeded the 90th-Percentile Benchmarks.

But here’s what the view count doesn’t tell you: the people who actually watched the video responded exceptionally well. Its 17 comments represent approximately 12.3 comments per 1,000 views—more than five times the median for long-form YouTube videos in a 2026 study of 2,251 videos2, and above the study’s 90th-percentile benchmark. Its 6.75% like-to-view ratio likewise exceeds the study’s 90th-percentile benchmark of 6.47%, while its 32.04% average percentage viewed compares favorably with the approximately 30% retention that vidIQ describes as good for long-form content3. By these measures, the video didn’t merely perform adequately among those who watched it; it substantially outperformed typical videos in viewer engagement.

Small Audience. Exceptional Engagement.
Capcom Mini-Cute • 1,377 YouTube views
Comment Rate Advantage
5.2×
Like Rate Advantage
2.2×
Comments per 1,000 views
Mini-Cute
12.3
90th percentile
7.89
Study median
2.38

Likes per 100 views
Mini-Cute
6.75
90th percentile
6.47
Study median
3.11
Above the study’s 90th percentile on both engagement measures.
Benchmarks: OverseerOS, 2026 long-form YouTube engagement study. Mini-Cute: 1,377 views, 17 comments, 93 displayed likes. Ratios are calculated per view, not per unique viewer.

Subscriber acquisition tells much the same story. Despite attracting just 1,377 (it did a righteous hack!) views, the Mini-Cute video generated 25 new subscribers while losing only two, for a net gain of 23. That’s approximately 16.7 net subscribers per 1,000 views—8.7 times the median and more than twice the 90th-percentile threshold reported in a 2026 study of 76 YouTube channels4. Although the study measures channel-wide subscriber growth rather than subscribers attributed to individual videos, the comparison is nevertheless striking. Once again, the evidence points to a video that was highly effective with the audience it reached. Its problem wasn’t an inability to attract subscribers; it was an inability to reach enough viewers in the first place. It’s a video that’s practically screaming for wider distribution.

Limited Reach. Exceptional Subscriber Conversion.
Capcom Mini-Cute • 1,377 YouTube views
Net Subscribers
+23
Net Conversion
1.67%
Median Advantage
8.7×
Net subscribers per 1,000 views
Mini-Cute
16.70
90th percentile
7.66
Study median
1.91
25 gained − 2 lost = 23 net subscribers
Source: YouTube Analytics for the Capcom Mini-Cute video; 2026 OverseerOS study of 76 YouTube channels. Benchmark methodology. Important: The benchmark measures channel-wide net subscriber growth per view, whereas Mini-Cute’s figure measures subscribers attributed to one video. These are not identical populations or measurements; the comparison is illustrative, not a verified percentile ranking for individual videos.

As Goes My Channel, So Goes the World

I’m not arguing that every video deserves thousands of views, that every positive comment should translate into a recommendation, or that YouTube owes me a particular audience size.

I’m arguing that when a creator repeatedly demonstrates substantial audience interest in the same content across multiple mediums and communities, generates hundreds in sales and ‘take my money!’–type feedback, outperforms 90% of the field in key engagement metrics, wrangles sponsorship, and nevertheless experiences dramatically lower reach than comparable content, well then, that discrepancy warrants a meaningful explanation.

Not another lecture about thumbnails.

And not another demand for evidence that only YouTube itself possesses.

ChatGPT concluded:

“Your channel appears to be experiencing a significant distribution problem. The evidence you’ve provided makes this a reasonable conclusion, not an unfounded suspicion.”

This gets to the heart of the problem. YouTube operates an opaque recommendation system that determines which videos receive exposure and which disappear into obscurity. Creators have access to some performance statistics, but not the underlying decision-making processes that govern distribution.

Consequently, when a creator suspects inequitable treatment, the burden of proof becomes almost impossible to satisfy. Any amount of circumstantial evidence can be dismissed on the grounds that some undisclosed but benign algorithmic factor might explain the outcome.

As if our existing systems weren’t already thoroughly corrupt, this is where the world is heading: complete deniability, total unaccountability under the guise of AI and algorithms.

ChatGPT observed:

“You shouldn’t have to prove malicious intent to make a legitimate complaint about the platform’s treatment of your content.”

The intent, if any, and the mechanisms behind the suppression remain open questions. But whether purposefully, passively, or as a proxy for other bad actors, the fact that YouTube is suppressing my channel is no longer up for debate: I have the numbers to prove it. I’ll conclude with two more comments:

  • “You should have a lot more subscribers” — @metal-beard
  • ““At least this video showed up on my subscribers feed. YouTube keeps hiding my favourite creators for no reason 😢” — @robdavis8556

In Part II I’ll offer some insight as to why I suspect third party sabotage… stay tuned!


  1. UpvoteGG Team. “How Many Upvotes Is Good on Reddit? We Analyzed 34,095 Posts to Find Out” (https://upvotegg.com/blog/reddit-upvote-benchmarks).” *UpvoteGG*, July 14, 2026. ↩︎
  2. Zaid Alkuheli, “What Is a Good YouTube Engagement Rate? Data From 2,251 Recent Videos,” OverseerOS, August 20, 2026 (updated October 18, 2026). ↩︎
  3. Lydia Sweatt and Darryl Rentz, “YouTube Audience Retention: What’s a Good Rate and How to Improve It?,” vidIQ, updated June 29, 2026. ↩︎
  4. Zaid Alkuheli, “What Is a Good YouTube Subscriber Conversion Rate? We Tracked 76 Channels,” OverseerOS, September 26, 2026. ↩︎

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